Proliferating Thoughts

December 22, 2009

Arms Controller of the Year

Filed under: Uncategorized — admin @ 5:35 pm

The Arms Control Association is having its annual Arms Control Person of the Year competition again. There is a good selection of people and organizations on the list which can be broken down into those who done something and those who have proclaimed something.

I think Jeffrey Lewis at Arms Control Wonk summed things up quite nicely with his post lamenting the eagerness of those voting to pile in on behalf of Barack Obama. The contrast between Senator Richard Lugar and President Barack Obama is actually that much clearer given that Obama, during his none-too-long stay in the U.S. Senate actually took a trip to Russia with Lugar to look at the work being done under the Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) program.

Senator Lugar has been working on CTR issues for the better part of two decades now and has helped to sustain this program in the face of indifference or even opposition from the Executive Office. He has kept his eye on the goal and although it is a pity the Russians are more willing or able to pay up to fulfill their treaty obligations the important point has been and continues to be that we all benefit by Russia destroying its stockpiles of chemical and nucelar weapons. In contrast the Obama adminstration has no arms control acheivements or accomplishments to its name after almost a year in office. Apart from some widely reported speeches and expressions of intent in the nuclear weapons area the main accomplishment has been to aggravate those seeking to make the Biological Weapons Convention more robust by adopting a public position that is essentially that of the Bush administration.

 So I am going to join Jeffrey in voting for Dick Lugar, and recommend that anyone who is remotely interested in these issues go to the Arms Control Association’s website and do the same.

December 5, 2009

Still more Library additions: but the last for a while

Filed under: Book purchases — admin @ 9:24 pm

In addition to the nonproliferation related materials I have also been buying other items. As mentioned military history including naval, WW1 and WW2, early modern, medieval and ancient, a little terrorism related material, and some space and aviation books.

The aviation and space books are a bit of a mixed bag, split between the new, mostly collected on my travels, and the old, mostly gotten from local 2nd hand book stores and the library sale.

Aviation & Space books

Aviation & Space books

“The Road to the 707″ was actually more interesting than I expected. I picked it up at the Boeing Museum of Flight bookstore in Seattle when we were over there this summer.  I didn’t have much time to make a decision as the store was closing but it looked interesting on a quick flip through so I took a chance.  In the event I was glad that I did. The book’s focus is not so much the 707 as the evolution of the various technologies that made it possible as experienced by the author. As such it is quite informative on the problems encountered during the development of early piston / propeller passenger aviation and even more useful on the process of introducing pressurization, jet engines and swept wings, all of which were extremely cutting edge technology at the time. The final chapters give a useful overview of the development and testing of the Dash-8, which was done entirely with the company’s own money in the absence of any contracts. When Boeing first flew the Dash-8 prototype there was little interest or acceptance on the part of airlines or pilots. Boeing actually had to take the plane on the road, so to speak, to give decision makers the opportunity to experience this breakthrough aircraft. Eventually Boeing was able to sell derivatives of the Dash-8 to the U.S.A.F. as the KC-135 and somewhat more refined evolutions of the original prototype to airlines around the world as the 707. The writing is great; complex technical topics are adequately explained and the author’s style is never turgid or dragging, which is never guaranteed with this sort of book.

Tommy Thomason’s “U.S. Naval Air Superiority” was bought on the same trip. I’d have to call it an absolute must for anyone who wants to understand carrier-based aviation. The book’s focus is the 25-odd year effort by the U.S. Navy to successfully adapt to the introduction of the jet-engine. Thi involved the development of a surprisingly large number of aircraft types over the period until they were able to finally put something in place that actually fulfilled their needs in the forms of the F-8 Crusader and the F-4 Phantom II. Although the focus is aircraft Thomason manages to squeeze in a lot of valuable information about the development of the carriers themselves and the significance of those developments, and the development of aircraft weapons systems in the period. this last aspect is particularly interesting as it highlights the difficulties the military was facing in the effort to respond to the introduction of the jet-engine. The issue of response and detection times was huge as the transformation in carrier tactics, and indeed carrier survivability, that had been enabled by the introduction of radar was being disrupted by the reduction in time available to intercept an attacker. Finding a workable solution was not helped by the inability to come up with effective weapons as missile technology was still very much in its infancy while cannons and unguided rockets were proving ineffective, to say the least. I am very much looking forward to receiving his companion volume “Strike from the sea” which deals with the evolution carrier-based bombers leading up to the F/A-18. It’s in the mail so hopefully I will have well before Birthmas.

Miscellaneous books

Miscellaneous books

These books are exactly like they sound. A mixture of eclectic interests. “The Fate of Africa” was excellent and I’ll happily recommend it to anyone, though prepare to be depressed. It is an unending litany of failure and worse, the worse being so bad that failure begins to look like success. Contrary to what some reviewers have suggested I don’t see it as presenting colonization a the best thing that happened to Africa. Rather it does an excellent job of stripping away the special pleading and excuse making that surrounds so much discussion of Africa’s post-colonial experience. I was somewhat familiar with pieces of the history of some of the countries in Africa but seeming them all set out together, and more importantly beside each other served to highlight how egregiously the people of Africa have been betrayed by their “leaders.”

“Liberal Fascism” was something I had been meaning to take a look at for some time but I only got around to buying this summer. Looking for something small to take with me to Belize I stuffed it in my bag and read it on the plane. It was a good read but it really came into its own once I got stuck down in Belize for an extra week. It was the only book I had and I had the chance to make good progress through it. I know many, especially on the left don’t like this book but it is well worth a read, if only for the way it trace the intellectual history of many concepts and ideals that are in current use. As an example it is rather useful for the manner in which it highlights the connection of the left to such delights as eugenics. The need for this is difficult to overstate as general understanding of eugenics these days seems to take the view that eugenics was something uniquely practiced by the Nazis and by extension, the political right. Indeed, there was a program on History Channel just yesterday that adopted that very approach. Of course the truth is that eugenics was part of the mainstream of social thought prior to WW2 and it was widely applied throughout the developed world. I didn’t get the book finished before I came back from Belize and will have to return to it over the Birthmas break.

Well that’s enough book updates for the moment. Next post will be something else entirely.

Yet more Library additions

Filed under: Book purchases — admin @ 4:10 pm

The November additions to the ever-increasing library. As the year draws to a close I took the opportunity to use the book budget to make one last round of purchases. I tried to keep it fairly tightly focused on the arms control treaties / regime front this time.

November books

November books

Reluctant Restraint looked like a useful addition, especially in combination with Solingen’s book, which at least one friend of mine has referred to in what can only be called a derisory manner. If I recall correctly the arument was that the book was overly reliant on economic determinism to explain nuclear choices in E. Asia, downplaying the significance of alliance relationships. I’ll be interested to see how that plays out. I am particularly looking forward to getting into “Sunken Treaties.” I may be mistaken but I strongly suspect that as the U.S. and Russia continue to downsize their nuclear arsenals the experience of the inter-war naval limitation treaties will become more and more relevant. If nothing else, the experience of negotiating arms control between multiple parties with differing relationships and obligations will represent a dramatic shift from the history of arms control to date which has been almost exclusively bilateral in nature. A further consideration will be dealing with the prickly subject of equality of armament. Working out the ratio system in the 1920s was hardly painless, especially in the Japanese case. I doubt China will be any easier to deal with in any nuclear weapons negotiations. Anything that smacks of less than absolute equality wit hthe other major powers will probably be rejected, a position that has the handy benefit of allowing china to remain outside of the nuclear disarmament process for as long as possible. “Complex Deterrence” will fit nicely with this reading.

“World At Risk” is available as a PDF but it was on special and books are much easier to read than electronic files, unless you have an ebook reader, which I don’t. This one will be worth revisiting; I got into a bit of a discussion with a fellow from the State Department earlier this year who professed himself at least as surprised as I was that the authors of the report totally discounted any suggestions that chemicals might be used by terrorists while making the utterly sensationalist assertion that there s a 50% chance of a nuclear weapon being used.

Book time again. Library acquisitions.

Filed under: Book purchases — admin @ 3:30 pm

This has been a good year on the library acquisitions front, though workloads and health have combined to make it difficult to keep up with the pace of acquisition. With any luck the Birthmas period will allow me to do some catching up. The books I’m showing here are the work related ones. I have also continued adding to my personal interest sets, notably the history of warfare, WW2 and WW1, naval history, and aviation history sets, but they are personal interest rather than work related, so will be talked about separately.

August to October

August to October

August to October saw an interesting set. I have particularly enjoyed Hoffman’s “Dead Hand,” though perhaps I could phrase that a little differently. I got Podvig’s book after I got into a bit of a back ‘n forth in the comments section of somebody elses blog on the topic of Russian / Soviet SLBMs, which is pretty much a conversation that is only of interest to those interested in such things. I wanted to confirm something that I was quite sure about before putting it into my comment and realized, rather to my surprise and consternation, that I didn’t actually have this book to delve into. Now that I have it I am glad that I do. It is a great reference for Russian / Soviet delivery systems, including some of the technical choices made by the designers.

Recent developments in the area of nuclear nonproliferation have gotten me thinking about my long-ago MA Thesis which offers several useful kernels for how I’m thinking about that regime. T.V. Paul’s book, along with Tannenwald’s “Nuclear Taboo” will be useful contributions that may help me with the process of reworking and re-wording some of those old ideas in a way that is publishable. Remains to be seen.

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